Survey Foresees Internet's Expansion. Tech experts predict the greatest change for news organizations and the least for religious institutions. They also envision big shifts in the realms of education and health care, which have been slow to adopt technology thus far.
By Jane Stancill The News and Observer 01/10/05 9:53 AM PT Zoom ahead to 2014, and here's what you might expect: computer devices embedded in your clothes, refrigerator, car and phone that transmit details about your life to vast databases available to government and corporate snoops. Technological advances will be stunning, yet we could experience a devastating cyber-attack and may not feel comfortable enough to vote online. Those are some of the predictions made by nearly 1,300 technology experts surveyed recently by Elon University and the Pew Internet & American Life Project. A Decade Away? Participants were asked to describe the Internet in 10 years. Their forecast paints a picture of a networked, digital future that will both simplify and complicate our lives. Among the prognostications: * Two-thirds say there will be a devastating attack on the nation's power grid or information networks, an attack that could bring society to a standstill. * 57 percent expect more virtual classrooms, with students grouped by skill and interest rather than age and location. * 56 percent predict changes in family dynamics and blurred lines between work and leisure time. * 54 percent foresee a burst in creativity, with people collaborating online in music, art and literature. Elon researcher Janna Anderson said the predictions illustrate people's conflicting desires about technology in their lives. "We want all the information, but we don't want to be stressed and inundated," said Anderson, assistant professor of communications. "We want total security and complete privacy." The challenge for the next 10 years will be to seek a balance between those largely incompatible values, she said....
The only easy day was yesterday.
...some do, some don't; some will, some won't (WR)