BleepingComputer.com: Internet Storm Center - Storm clouds on the horizon?

At the Internet Storm Center, we sometimes see dark clouds gathering on the horizon. Sometimes it doesn't come to a real storm, sometimes it does. Unlike the real storm centers we don't have mathematical models to help in our predictions just yet. Main problem is that it would mean we'd have to predict human nature.

1. As a first ingredient we have the probing and even at least one worm/botnet on the loose attacking unpatched phpBB installations.

2. As a second ingredient we see the 0-day exploits and the lack of a real patch from Microsoft for the javaprxy.dll . This makes the most popular browser potentially seriously vulnerable as this exploit matures.

3. The final ingredient is timing: in the US it's Independence Day tomorrow, which most probably only leaves a skeleton staff at key places.